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TAC had an effect but it was not decisive.
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The attacks by fighter-bombers against the armored columns of the 12th SS and the Panzer Lehr were indeed decisive in that neither unit could reach the beachhead in time to make an assault when the Allied defenses were at their weakest and disorganized. The delays caused by the Jabos enabled the beachhead to be reinforced at a faster rate than the Germans could send formations to Normandy and it allowed the Allies to organize their units effectively to repulse any German attack which would have been too weak as compared to the Allied defense. As I stated earlier, it was the British who launched their attack first against the 12th SS as that unit was in its movement to contact. This occurred on 7 June. Without the constant harrassment from the air, the 12th SS could have started the assault on the afternoon of the 6th.